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2024-12-13 10:26:55

Consumption has a formulation of "special action to boost consumption", which is favorable. Relatively new things: science and technology highlighted AI, "involution competition governance" (photovoltaic chain, etc.), and fertility promotion policy (not mentioned in previous meetings)! In the evening, A500 fell a little, but not much, which is also a good thing. If we lower our expectations a little, we can "open low and go high" today, and there is still a chance to hit 3500.The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand, promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, stabilize the property market and stock market, and prevent and resolve risks and external shocks in key areas.


Yesterday morning, A-shares were still rotting, and it suddenly exploded near midday, which made people feel embarrassed! After falling back in the afternoon, the end of the session rose again. Finally, the three major indexes all rose by about 1%, which exceeded expectations. There were 3,500 Shanghai Stock Exchanges and 158 daily limit stocks, with a median of 0.65%. Everyone took a sip of blood, but the effect of making money was not outstanding. Yesterday, big tickets were stronger than small tickets, and big consumption and big finance set off the banner of counterattack!The personal pension system has been extended to the whole country, and it is also allowed to buy index funds. This is of great significance, which indicates that the personal pension will usher in the indexation era, which will undoubtedly inject an important long-term fund into A shares. What does the pension mean to the stock market? American stocks are so awesome that they are all bought by pensions, with a scale as high as $17.4 trillion, accounting for 20% of the entire US stock market! And our A-share scale is 4 trillion RMB, accounting for less than 5% of the total market value of A-shares, and there is a lot of room for the future. At present, the two main functions of personal pension accounts are steady investment and tax deduction! 12,000 yuan can save up to 5,400 yuan in tax, which is still attractive to high-income working groups, state-owned enterprises, institutions and civil servants.In short, the recent policies have basically landed, and some funds may be cashed out, but then specific rules will be issued to stimulate the market! There is no need to panic about more than 3400 A shares. I still believe that it will slow down.


Seriously, A-shares are really slow recently, with 9 positive lines in 10 days, but they have risen by 5% in total, so I ask if you are slow? Is it awesome? Not convinced? On the disk, 60 daily limit boards were consumed, which dominated the increase list and became the strongest main line. Big technology (AI, robots) and big finance (brokers, mutual gold) are also very good! It belongs to the rising market.Now the two directions of funds, AI and robots are overseas mappings, finance and big consumption are policy expectations, and funds play their own roles. However, quantification has obviously become active recently, making waves in the market! As a result, the disk looks good, but the waterlogging is dead and the drought is dead. While eating big meat, the daily limit of 100 shares is up! While eating noodles, you can't stop falling, especially if you are short-term. Everyone's joys and sorrows are not the same.

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